Santa Cruz vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
NAC
3 - 1
SAN
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
SAN
1 - 3
VIT
67%
20%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
SAN
2 - 0
CSA
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ALE
1 - 0
SAN
14%
25%
62%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1986 |
SAN
0 - 0
COM
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
FOR
2 - 2
VIT
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
ATM
4 - 0
FOR
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1986 |
FOR
0 - 1
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
NAC
0 - 1
FOR
50%
27%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
PAL
6 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |