Santa Cruz vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
FFL
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAN
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAO
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 1
FLA
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLA
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 2
PAL
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
FLA
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |