Santa Cruz vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAG
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALT
2 - 2
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
SAN
23%
26%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 0
SAN
28%
29%
43%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
POT
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
FEC
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FEC
7 - 1
FEC
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ADJ
0 - 3
FEC
13%
16%
71%
|
32 | 13 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
3 - 1
FEC
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FEC
4 - 0
CAT
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |