Santa Cruz vs Feirense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CAM
3 - 0
SAN
39%
25%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRB
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
SAN
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
LUV
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
FOR
29%
28%
44%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Feirense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CRB
3 - 1
FEI
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
FEI
2 - 2
CAM
44%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
FEI
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
FEI
1 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CSA
5 - 0
FEI
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |