Santa Cruz vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
1 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
CSA
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 2
VIT
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAM
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 2
BAH
14%
23%
63%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 0
VIT
78%
15%
6%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CSA
4 - 1
BAH
16%
24%
60%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
BAH
1 - 2
FLU
30%
29%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |