Santa Cruz vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
CEA
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
SER
1 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIT
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
SER
1 - 0
CSA
40%
26%
33%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
CSA
4 - 1
VIT
16%
23%
61%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | +2 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 2
CSA
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
CSA
2 - 2
CRB
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
SAN
6 - 1
CSA
64%
21%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |