Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 1-0
Santa Cruz vs Coruripe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
ALE
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
POR
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
SAN
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Coruripe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
COR
2 - 2
RIP
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
0 - 1
COR
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
COR
1 - 0
TRE
44%
26%
31%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BAH
2 - 0
COR
54%
25%
21%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TRE
4 - 3
COR
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |