Santa Cruz vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
VAS
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 3
SAN
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 1
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SCI
31%
28%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2016 |
ATM
2 - 1
COT
71%
18%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
COT
0 - 0
BOT
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 0
COT
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
ATP
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FFL
0 - 0
COT
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |