Santa Cruz vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
TRE
0 - 0
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CRB
1 - 1
SAN
43%
24%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 2
BEL
80%
14%
6%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CON
3 - 1
BOC
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
CRB
27%
25%
49%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
SER
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
OSE
1 - 1
CON
11%
19%
70%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
TRE
3 - 2
CON
20%
23%
56%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |