Santa Cruz vs Chã Grande analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
CEN
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
YPI
0 - 2
SAN
17%
23%
61%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 1
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 2
SAN
20%
22%
57%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
PES
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chã Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 2
CHA
74%
16%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
CEN
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NAU
5 - 3
CHA
88%
9%
3%
|
35 | 72 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
1 - 1
YPI
42%
24%
35%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
SER
4 - 0
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |