Santa Cruz vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
YPI
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SER
2 - 4
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
CEN
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
4 - 0
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
ARA
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
YPI
1 - 0
CEN
38%
26%
36%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |