Santa Cruz vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
VIL
3 - 2
SAN
16%
26%
58%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
VAS
4 - 1
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 1
PPE
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
JEC
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 1
ICA
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2014 |
CEA
1 - 3
JEC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 2
CEA
33%
28%
40%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
SAM
2 - 2
CEA
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |