Santa Cruz vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
RFC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
LAG
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
4 - 0
CAU
89%
8%
2%
|
41 | 83 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
FOR
8%
18%
74%
|
40 | 83 | 43 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
CAU
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 0
IGU
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAU
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |