Santa Cruz vs Caruaru City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAU
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
VCR
71%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 4
RFC
59%
20%
21%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SSS
1 - 3
SAN
15%
25%
61%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Caruaru City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 3
VCR
35%
23%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 0
CAR
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
SSS
0 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
AFO
2 - 1
CAR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
RFC
15%
19%
67%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +3 |