Santa Cruz vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
OES
2 - 0
SAN
24%
28%
48%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
FFL
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
AMF
1 - 0
SAN
39%
29%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
SCI
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 3
SAN
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
AMF
3 - 0
BRA
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
BRA
0 - 1
SCI
18%
29%
54%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 2
BRA
42%
30%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
BRA
3 - 0
VIL
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2017 |
LUV
4 - 0
BRA
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |