Santa Cruz vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
50.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2001 |
GRE
3 - 1
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
26%
24%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 3
LAG
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
LAG
1 - 2
SAN
11%
19%
69%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 1
AMF
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
BOT
1 - 2
REM
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
REM
2 - 1
BOT
28%
23%
48%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2001 |
BOT
2 - 1
SER
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
SER
2 - 3
BOT
19%
22%
60%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |