Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
48%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAU
63%
19%
17%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
13%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
RFC
1 - 2
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
RFC
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
BOT
0 - 0
RFC
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
ABC
2 - 1
BOT
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
BOT
2 - 0
ABC
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
APA
1 - 0
BOT
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 1
FFL
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |