Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
39.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 1
SAN
70%
20%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALT
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAN
60%
25%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
VOL
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
JAC
1 - 1
SAN
38%
30%
33%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
JAC
66%
21%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
BOT
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
TOM
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ALT
0 - 0
BOT
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 2
FLO
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | -1 |