Santa Cruz vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 1
VCR
84%
12%
4%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 0
SAN
21%
24%
55%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
YAP
0 - 4
SAN
8%
20%
72%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 0
BOT
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
CEA
17%
23%
59%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 1
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
SAM
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |