Santa Cruz vs Belo Jardim FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
FEC
1 - 1
SAN
7%
13%
81%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
PES
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
CRB
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
AFO
0 - 1
SAN
8%
14%
79%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
AME
3 - 1
BEL
38%
26%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 0
SPO
5%
14%
80%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CEN
2 - 0
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 1
SAL
15%
25%
61%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |