Santa Cruz vs Araripina FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
COR
1 - 4
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 1
SAN
36%
26%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAB
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
CEN
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
POR
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
AME
2 - 1
ARA
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
PET
57%
22%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
2 - 1
ARA
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |