Santa Cruz vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
POR
1 - 3
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
ARA
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 3
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 2
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 2
AME
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 1
ARA
33%
24%
44%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
1 - 4
POR
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 2
AME
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 4
SPO
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 70 | 41 | -1 |