Santa Cruz vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
YPI
58%
21%
20%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 3
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
BAH
4 - 1
SAN
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 0
CON
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
AME
0 - 1
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
AME
83%
12%
5%
|
33 | 73 | 40 | 0 |