Santa Cruz vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CUI
1 - 3
SAN
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 0
CRB
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 1
SAN
46%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
6 - 0
TRE
66%
21%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
0 - 0
CUI
38%
26%
35%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 0
RIO
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
AGU
69%
19%
13%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 1
FOR
27%
27%
47%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CRB
3 - 1
AGU
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |