Santa Cruz vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 0
PET
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SED
1 - 1
SAN
16%
21%
64%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SAN
1 - 2
TRE
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
AME
77%
15%
8%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CSA
1 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
RFC
1 - 0
AFO
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
AFO
1 - 1
SPO
6%
19%
75%
|
40 | 88 | 48 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
AFO
55%
24%
22%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAU
2 - 0
AFO
82%
13%
5%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AFO
3 - 2
MAG
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |