Santa Cruz vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
BAH
22%
26%
53%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
FEC
1 - 1
SAN
8%
15%
78%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
AME
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
BOT
0 - 0
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
OPE
3 - 0
SAN
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -4 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
AFO
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
AFO
1 - 0
PET
52%
21%
26%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
AFO
79%
15%
6%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AFO
4 - 2
ACA
36%
25%
40%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 0
AFO
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |