Santa Cruz vs AD Cabense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
CEN
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 0
SPO
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
YPI
1 - 0
CAB
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
2 - 1
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
PET
1 - 0
CAB
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 2
CAB
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |