Santa Cruz vs Vitória das Tabocas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
SAN
27%
24%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
5 - 2
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PAY
4 - 2
SAN
41%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 0
PAR
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BOA
4 - 2
SAN
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória das Tabocas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
ACA
3 - 0
PER
55%
24%
22%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
ACA
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
ACA
0 - 1
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
FEC
0 - 1
ACA
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AFO
2 - 2
ACA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |