Santa Cruz vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAL
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
LTD
0 - 0
SAN
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACA
86%
11%
3%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CRB
1 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
0 - 0
CEA
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
AQU
0 - 1
ABC
18%
23%
60%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ABC
2 - 1
ARN
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 5
ABC
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
ABC
34%
25%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |