Santa Croya vs Morales Vino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+116%
+371%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 3
SAN
50%
20%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
5 - 2
BVD
85%
9%
6%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
26%
19%
55%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 3
CDN
31%
19%
50%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Morales Vino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 3
MOR
47%
21%
33%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 2
GCE
5%
11%
84%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
MOR
42%
20%
38%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 4
TOR
32%
21%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
4 - 3
IZA
34%
21%
45%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +1 |