Santa Croya vs Fresno de La Ribera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BVD
2 - 0
SAN
34%
20%
46%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 5
COR
50%
20%
31%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
8 - 0
SAN
68%
16%
15%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SAN
5 - 1
SAC
41%
20%
39%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MOR
6 - 1
SAN
72%
15%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fresno de La Ribera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 4
RCB
10%
14%
76%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAC
2 - 2
FRE
48%
21%
30%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 6
GCE
18%
19%
63%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 0
FRE
32%
21%
47%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FRE
1 - 1
COR
49%
21%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |