FC Santa Coloma vs Esperança d'Andorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
3º
9º
4º
13
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
5 - 1
SCO
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
FCO
1 - 1
SCO
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCO
24%
24%
52%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 2
SCO
23%
22%
55%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SCO
3 - 2
PAC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Esperança d'Andorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
UES
6 - 0
ESA
65%
21%
14%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 5
ATL
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 4
ESA
65%
19%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ESA
1 - 2
AME
36%
23%
40%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 3
FCO
27%
23%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |