Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 1-9
FC Santa Coloma vs Esbjerg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
ESB
5 - 0
SCO
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
FCE
1 - 2
SCO
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
SCO
0 - 0
PRI
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
UEE
0 - 7
SCO
12%
19%
69%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
SCO
4 - 0
LUS
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Esbjerg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ESB
3 - 2
AAB
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
AKA
2 - 4
ESB
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
ESB
5 - 0
SCO
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
ESB
1 - 1
FCK
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
VFF
1 - 1
ESB
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |