Santa Claus vs TP-47 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Claus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
STC
2 - 1
PSK
32%
24%
45%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PK3
2 - 1
STC
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
JBK
3 - 2
STC
53%
21%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
STC
2 - 2
FCV
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
FCK
2 - 1
STC
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
TP-47
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
TP4
4 - 5
GBK
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TP4
2 - 0
PK3
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TP4
11 - 3
FCV
71%
19%
10%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
SEI
3 - 1
TP4
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
HAU
0 - 0
TP4
29%
25%
46%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |