UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 5-3
CD Santa Clara vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 3
BEL
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
FCP
5 - 3
SAN
75%
16%
10%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 0
BMA
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VST
3 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 0
SLB
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2002 |
SHI
3 - 1
LER
80%
13%
7%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
SHI
5 - 1
ULI
77%
14%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
LVA
0 - 4
SHI
12%
19%
68%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
ULI
1 - 4
SHI
25%
25%
50%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |