CD Santa Clara vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FAT
2 - 5
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 0
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
GFC
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
SCF
1 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
0 - 0
GFC
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PEN
2 - 3
SCF
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
PEN
0 - 2
BMA
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
EST
0 - 0
PEN
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |