CD Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
2º
8º
6º
22
9º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 71 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 53 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 51 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 38 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 37 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
15º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 29 |
16º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
31.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 25 |
18º
|
38.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
GON
0 - 1
SAN
6%
14%
81%
|
79 | 40 | 39 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOA
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 0
ESA
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SLB
4 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 2
GFC
13%
20%
67%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
GFC
3 - 0
ESA
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SLB
5 - 1
GFC
76%
16%
8%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GFC
1 - 1
CAS
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 1
GFC
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |