CD Santa Clara vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
2º
8º
8º
12
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 15.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 23.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EST
1 - 4
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 3
SAN
30%
24%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 2
BOA
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 4
SAN
13%
21%
66%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 0
GFC
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 4
FCP
46%
23%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 0
ALN
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STR
0 - 2
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 2
TAT
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 50 | 39 | 0 |