Santa Catarina vs Caravaggio FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Catarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
AVA
1 - 0
SCA
90%
8%
2%
|
40 | 81 | 41 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 1
CFC
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
SCA
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SCA
0 - 0
CAM
15%
20%
64%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
SCA
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 1
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
37 | 78 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 4
CAX
8%
15%
77%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CAX
4 - 2
CFC
78%
14%
7%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SCA
1 - 1
CFC
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
SCA
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |