Santa Catalina Atlético vs Ferriolense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
BNS
2 - 1
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
STA
1 - 2
PBL
22%
24%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CLL
1 - 3
STA
40%
24%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
STA
2 - 1
FLN
40%
24%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
IBI
3 - 1
STA
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FER
1 - 2
CDS
51%
23%
25%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SRF
0 - 0
FER
54%
24%
23%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SER
2 - 2
FER
39%
24%
37%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
FER
3 - 1
BNS
37%
26%
37%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PBL
4 - 1
FER
85%
10%
5%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |