St. Catalina At. U19 vs Penya Independent analysis


14	ELO	6
2.1%	Tilt	-13.7%
15001º	General ELO ranking	20005º
2227º	Country ELO ranking	5343º
ELO win probability

79.2%

St. Catalina At. U19

12.6%

Draw

8.2%

Penya Independent

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

79.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%

12.6%

Draw

0-0

2.1%

1-1

5.5%

2-2

3.7%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

12.6%

8.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+21%

-22%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

8º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

4

3º

12º

9º

1

14º

17º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

16º

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
5º	6	82	1º	84.5%
2º	9	63	2º	25%
3º	7	58	3º	12.5%
13º	3	57	4º	11.5%
7º	6	57	5º	10%
9º	4	55	6º	13.5%
11º	4	52	7º	6.5%
6º	6	51	8º	9%
8º	4	49	9º	6.5%
4º	6	45	10º	7.5%
1º	9	45	11º	6.5%
15º	1	43	12º	9%
10º	4	43	13º	7%
17º	1	40	14º	8%
14º	2	38	15º	11%
12º	3	33	16º	15.5%
16º	1	28	17º	22.5%
18º	0	24	18º	35.5%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Promotion	1.5%	0%
Mid-table	91.5%	41%
Relegation	7%	59%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches