Sansinena vs Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
39.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
5º
64
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDC
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
SDM
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Mitre Bahia Blanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2023 |
ARS
1 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 1
CDC
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIL
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 0
SDM
69%
21%
11%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
VIL
21%
30%
49%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |