Sansinena vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FER
2 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
JUU
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 2
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
CDC
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
HHE
43%
27%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 1
SDM
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FER
3 - 0
SPE
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 1
JUU
33%
29%
39%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
SPE
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |