Sansinena vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
5º
41
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 4
VIL
24%
31%
45%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
CDC
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
SDM
48%
26%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
RSA
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
OLI
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
SDM
1 - 1
RSA
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
3 - 0
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |