Sansinena vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
5º
41
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 4
VIL
24%
31%
45%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 1
SAN
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
CDC
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
8%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
SDM
48%
26%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 0
RSA
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
OLI
20%
27%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
SDM
1 - 1
RSA
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
RSA
3 - 0
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CIP
2 - 1
RSA
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |