Sansinena vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
39.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
7º
5º
41
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
42% | 58% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sansinena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
VIL
31%
30%
39%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
CDC
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
SDM
54%
25%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDC
0 - 1
RSA
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
RSA
0 - 0
OLI
22%
27%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
SDM
3 - 0
RSA
27%
26%
48%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CIP
1 - 3
RSA
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |