Sanremese vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanremese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 2
SAN
74%
14%
12%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SAN
5 - 2
CAS
27%
23%
50%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 1940 |
ACL
7 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
SAN
2 - 1
ACQ
77%
14%
10%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
RAR
1 - 2
SAN
22%
21%
57%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
VNZ
3 - 0
TRE
74%
15%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
VNZ
0 - 2
VIC
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
PAD
2 - 1
VNZ
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
VIC
0 - 0
VNZ
73%
16%
10%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |