Sanremese vs Ligorna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanremese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SDT
1 - 2
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SER
1 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
GHI
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FBC
1 - 1
SAN
29%
22%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
LAV
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ligorna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
0 - 3
URI
57%
21%
23%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GHI
0 - 0
LIG
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
LIG
4 - 0
ARG
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SER
3 - 1
LIG
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
LIG
1 - 1
USR
29%
22%
49%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |