Sanremese vs Gozzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanremese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SES
0 - 1
SAN
21%
25%
53%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
5 - 0
VMO
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 3
SAN
12%
17%
72%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
ASA
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FCV
2 - 4
SAN
38%
26%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gozzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GOZ
0 - 1
CHI
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
BOR
0 - 2
GOZ
14%
23%
63%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GOZ
2 - 0
SER
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
GOZ
9%
21%
71%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
GOZ
3 - 4
PAV
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |