Sanremese vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanremese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
VFC
1 - 3
SAN
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 0
SAN
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASD
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
BOR
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
GOZ
1 - 1
ASD
69%
19%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
CAS
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
ARC
0 - 0
ASD
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
UNI
21%
20%
58%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +3 |