AD Sanjoanense vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
8º
10º
9º
8
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 36 |
1º
|
49.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 35 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 28 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 27 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
5º
|
8 | 26 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 23 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 19 |
8º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 16 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 15 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 46% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
98% | 54% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Sanjoanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FAF
1 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
AMA
21%
26%
54%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
SAN
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
BMA
44%
24%
31%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
VIL
38%
27%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 0
TRO
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 0
BRA
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
ACA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
TRO
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |